![]() – Negar Mortazavi: Journalist and Political Analyst, Host of Iran Podcast – Ali Vaez: Iran Project Director, International Crisis Group – Mark Fitzpatrick: Associate Fellow & Former Executive Director, International Institute for Strategic Studies (IISS) – Peggy Mason: Canada’s former Ambassador to the UN for Disarmament This panel will discuss how Western powers and multilateral institutions, such as the IAEA, can play a more effective role in managing non-proliferation efforts in the Middle East. However, serious obstacles remain for responsible actors in expanding non-proliferation efforts toward a nuclear-free zone in the Middle East. On Middle East policy, the Biden campaign had staunchly criticized the Trump administration’s unilateral withdrawal from the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA), more commonly known as the Iran Nuclear Deal and it has begun re-engaging Iran on the nuclear dossier since assuming office in January 2021. The former is a member of the treaty on the Non-Proliferation of Nuclear Weapons (NPT), while the latter has refused to sign the international agreement. While the international community is concerned with Iran’s nuclear program, Saudi Arabia has moved forward with developing its own nuclear program, and independent studies show that Israel has longed possessed dozens of nuclear warheads. The Western powers have failed to effectively manage the increasing threat of proliferation in the Middle East. For unless Moscow is provided with a reasonable off-ramp that recognises Russia’s status as a regional power with its own existential imperatives of strategic and ontological security, that is the precipice towards which we are heading. For many liberal internationalists in the West, the clamour for a “ just peace” that is sufficiently punishing to Russia suggests little more than a thinly-veiled desire to impose a Carthaginian peace on Moscow. The West has indeed wounded Russia now it must decide if it wants to let this wound fester and conflagrate the entire world. To prolong the war at this point in an ideological quest for total victory is both strategically and morally questionable. Moscow has already paid a high price for its transgressions in Ukraine. Such a maximalist desire for “complete victory” is not only highly attritional and suggestive of yet another endless war, but it is also reckless its very success could trigger a nuclear holocaust. For all the talk of Ukrainian agency, that agency depends entirely on Nato’s commitment to continue to support Kyiv’s war effort indefinitely. ![]() ![]() For UnHerd, Arta Moeni explores the possible outcomes of the war in Ukraine.Īs we begin the second year of the war, it has finally dawned on many in Washington that the likely outcome of this tragedy is stalemate: “We will continue to try to impress upon that we can’t do anything and everything forever,” one senior Biden administration official said this week. ![]()
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